Posted by: pyeager | August 13, 2009

As Easy as A (Ana), B (Bill), C (Claudette)?

The Atlantic hurricane season has, indeed, started slowly; however, since we’re approaching the peak of the season, it could become very active, very quickly. In fact, the following satellite image (from 8 a.m. on August 13)  from the National Hurricane Center shows three areas of possible development. In other words, if they all develop, the start of hurricane season would be as easy as A (Ana), B (Bill), and C (Claudette).

National Hurricane Center satellite image--August 13, 2009 at 8 a.m.

National Hurricane Center satellite image--August 13, 2009 at 8 a.m.

While the one indicated with the L and red x is the most likely of the three to develop first, all have the potential to develop at some point.

Imminent development in area 2 is unlikely because of the interaction of the tropical wave with the islands; however, if the wave is still holding together once it emerges in the Gulf of Mexico, the potential for development will increase.

The area indicated by the 1 on the map has considerable potential to develop. In fact, AccuWeather.com hurricane expert Joe Bastardi believes that this system has the potential to be a hurricane similar to Hurricane Floyd (Set Up Comparisons to Floyd).

–Paul Yeager

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