I recently mentioned that the current 2009-2010 winter forecast by the National Weather Service had similarities to a typical El Nino Winter (NOAA Winter 2009-2019 Winter Forecast), so I thought I’d briefly compare the two (typical El Nino winter and the government forecast) today.
For other winter forecasts, please see Snowy, Cold Winter on the Way? [...]
Archive for September, 2009
Typical El Nino Winter Versus NWS Forecast
Posted in long-range forecasts, tagged 2009-2019 winter forecast, El Nino, long-range forecast, meteorology, NOAA winter forecast, Paul Yeager, weather on September 27, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
NOAA Winter 2009-2010 Forecast
Posted in long-range forecasts, tagged long-range forecast, meteorology, national weather service winter forecast, northeast winter forecast, Paul Yeager, weather, winter 2009-2010 forecast on September 23, 2009 | 4 Comments »
–Paul Yeager, author of Weather Whys: Facts, Myths, and Oddities
Update: The official NWS Winter Outlook has been released since this post was written; it can be seen at NOAA Winter Outlook.
I’ve already written about a couple of long-range winter forecasts (Snowy, Cold Winter on the Way, Harsh 2010 Winter Is Forecast) and a key to [...]
First Day of Fall Means One Thing——Snow!
Posted in Current Weather, extreme weather, tagged California heatwave, Colorado snow, extreme weather, fall snow, first stnowstorm of the season, meteorology, Paul Yeager, weather on September 22, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
If you think that the arrival of falls simply means brightly colored fall foliage, crisp apples, and pumpkins on every corner, then you’ve never been in the mountains of Colorado–where fall also means snow! In fact, the first day of fall arrived with the few snowstorm of the season.
The storm produced nearly a foot of [...]
Harsh 2010 Winter Is Forecast
Posted in long-range forecasts, tagged 2009-2010 winter forecast, 2010 forecast, accuweather, alamanc winter forecast, Farmer's Almanac, long-range forecast, Paul Yeager, winter forecast on September 21, 2009 | 6 Comments »
by Paul Yeager, author of Weather Whys: Facts, Myths, and Oddities
The Farmer’s Almanac, not to be confused with the Old Farmer’s Almanc (although the confusion is probably intentional by whichever is the least popular of the two), has issued its version of the Winter 2010 forecast.
Similar to the AccuWeather winter forecast, which I discussed a [...]
Will Hurricane Fred Re-Form?
Posted in Current Weather, Tropical Weather, tagged atlantic basin hurricane threat, hurricane fred, hurricane season, hurricanes, meteorology, Paul Yeager, tropical development possible this weekend, weather on September 18, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
An area of disturbed tropical weather in the western Atlantic (indicated by the 1 on the following satellite image) will be in a region where conditions will be favorable for development over the upcoming weekend, and it’s certainly close enough to the United States Coast to be worthy of monitoring.
Born Again Fred
If this system does [...]
California Heat, Fire Danger–Global Warming?
Posted in Current Weather, extreme weather, global warming, tagged are fires caused by global warming, California fires, global warming, hot weather in California, meteorology, Paul Yeager, weather on September 16, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
There are many good resources for local forecast information, so I usually focus on larger scale items in this blog; however, local forecast information and larger scale items sometimes merge. I suspect that will be the case with California weather over the next week or two since I expect that the hot, dry weather pattern will result in talk about global [...]
Current El Nino–Still Weak
Posted in Current Weather, long-range forecasts, tagged 2009-2010 winter forecast, accuweather, current el nino, long-range forecast, meteorology, Paul Yeager on September 14, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
The latest advisory issued by the Climate Prediction Center’s El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion states that, as of early September 2009, the El Nino remains weak.
I trust that you’ve been reading the blog long enough to understand that the mere presence of an El Nino does not mean much for the upcoming winter; the [...]
Shuttle Landing Delayed Again
Posted in Weather in the News, tagged florida, Kennedy Space Center, meteorology, nasa, Paul Yeager, shuttle delays, shuttle launches, thunderstorm frequency, thunderstorms, weather on September 11, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
I always think people who design space shuttles, launch them into space, conduct complex scientific experiments, and land the shuttles safely are exceptionally intelligent———-until I realize that they put their main base of operations in the part of the country that has the greatest frequency of thunderstorms, Florida.
Phrases similar to “The weather at Kennedy Space Center is [...]
Weather Web sites
Posted in Opinion, tagged accuweather.com, forecast accuracy, intellicast.com, meteorology, noaa.gov, Paul Yeager, weather, weather channel, weather web sites, weather.com on September 10, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
A large and growing number of people depend on the Internet for weather information.
Since the sites rely nearly exclusively on automated forecasts from computers (Forecast Accuracy), things other than forecast accuracy (although I’m sure that some automated forecasts are better than others) are often the determining factors for customer loyalty.
A friend recently sent me an [...]
2009 Summer Temperatures, United States
Posted in Current Weather, tagged cool summer, meteorology, northeast temperatures, Paul Yeager, summer temperatures, warm summer, weather, year without a summer on September 7, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
By this time of the year in 1816, the growing season was over from the Northeast to the Carolinas–a growing season that was slow to start because Northeast had snow in June and a frost in some areas in July. It was, of course, the Year Without a Summer.
This summer (2009) was cool in some [...]
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