Comments on: Winter Storm for Thanksgiving Day? http://cloudyandcool.com/2009/11/10/thanksgiving-day-forecast/ National Weather Analysis and Commentary Tue, 09 Mar 2010 15:15:40 +0000 http://wordpress.com/ hourly 1 By: pyeager http://cloudyandcool.com/2009/11/10/thanksgiving-day-forecast/#comment-414 pyeager Wed, 18 Nov 2009 14:00:57 +0000 http://cloudyandcool.com/?p=1129#comment-414 Thanks for the kind words--and happy birthday! You can find the link to the computer model, including the 364, on this page: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/. It will be under the GFS, 4 panel charts. The times across the top (00 UTC, 06 UTC, etc.) are the times when the computer model is run, which correspond, from left to right, to 4 p.m. PST (00 UTC, 10 p.m. PST (06 UTC), 4 a.m. PST (12 UTC), and 10 a.m. PST (18 UTC). The 364 should be available a few hours after those times. Thanks for the kind words–and happy birthday!

You can find the link to the computer model, including the 364, on this page: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/. It will be under the GFS, 4 panel charts. The times across the top (00 UTC, 06 UTC, etc.) are the times when the computer model is run, which correspond, from left to right, to 4 p.m. PST (00 UTC, 10 p.m. PST (06 UTC), 4 a.m. PST (12 UTC), and 10 a.m. PST (18 UTC). The 364 should be available a few hours after those times.

]]> By: Kristin http://cloudyandcool.com/2009/11/10/thanksgiving-day-forecast/#comment-413 Kristin Wed, 18 Nov 2009 13:53:17 +0000 http://cloudyandcool.com/?p=1129#comment-413 Hey! I love your weather blog! My birthday is this Saturday, and I just love this time of year with the weather changing so drastically. I live in Puget Sound, WA, so I'll have to go find a 364 hr weather map for my region to see what it looks like. Thanks again & keep up the great work! Kristin Hey! I love your weather blog! My birthday is this Saturday, and I just love this time of year with the weather changing so drastically. I live in Puget Sound, WA, so I’ll have to go find a 364 hr weather map for my region to see what it looks like. Thanks again & keep up the great work!
Kristin

]]> By: Joe S. http://cloudyandcool.com/2009/11/10/thanksgiving-day-forecast/#comment-404 Joe S. Fri, 13 Nov 2009 03:35:54 +0000 http://cloudyandcool.com/?p=1129#comment-404 We plan a trip to WV, every year for the week of Thanksgiving. The kids always look forward to seeing snow, as do I. So I find myself checking the long range forecast, in the weeks leading up to our trip. Thanks for the promising forecast, I hope it is spot on, as do the kids. We plan a trip to WV, every year for the week of Thanksgiving. The kids always look forward to seeing snow, as do I. So I find myself checking the long range forecast, in the weeks leading up to our trip. Thanks for the promising forecast, I hope it is spot on, as do the kids.

]]> By: pyeager http://cloudyandcool.com/2009/11/10/thanksgiving-day-forecast/#comment-402 pyeager Thu, 12 Nov 2009 00:58:26 +0000 http://cloudyandcool.com/?p=1129#comment-402 Meteorological carnage--lol! When I forecast daily, I was always happy if the long-range models were consistent enough to give some guidance for the trend, and since it's a day of note, we'll keep an eye on it this time. Meteorological carnage–lol!

When I forecast daily, I was always happy if the long-range models were consistent enough to give some guidance for the trend, and since it’s a day of note, we’ll keep an eye on it this time.

]]> By: Steve J http://cloudyandcool.com/2009/11/10/thanksgiving-day-forecast/#comment-401 Steve J Thu, 12 Nov 2009 00:31:57 +0000 http://cloudyandcool.com/?p=1129#comment-401 You have to love the 16-day GFS. When the current weather is relatively tame, you can always count on the long-range models to produce some sort of meteorological carnage in the 300-hr+ forecasts. Of course, given that the weather has been relatively calm in the last couple weeks, it does seem as if the pattern should become more active soon. To the credit of the model, it has continued to show a trough of cooler temperatures in the eastern U.S. around Thanksgiving for the last couple of runs. I do have to drive over 500 miles on the Tuesday prior, so I can't say I'm really looking forward to a storm if it happened to verify. You have to love the 16-day GFS. When the current weather is relatively tame, you can always count on the long-range models to produce some sort of meteorological carnage in the 300-hr+ forecasts.

Of course, given that the weather has been relatively calm in the last couple weeks, it does seem as if the pattern should become more active soon. To the credit of the model, it has continued to show a trough of cooler temperatures in the eastern U.S. around Thanksgiving for the last couple of runs.

I do have to drive over 500 miles on the Tuesday prior, so I can’t say I’m really looking forward to a storm if it happened to verify.

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