By Paul Yeager, author of Weather Whys: Facts, Myths and Oddities
In the lastest episode of our weather soap opera, As the Computer Model Turns, we take a look at the latest GFS model forecast for Thanksgiving Day 2010.
Higlights of this model run (now the 192 hour for those interested in such things) include:
- Rain and perhaps some thunderstorms from eastern Texas into the Mid-Atlantic region
- A little snow moving out of the Rockies (including Denver) into the Plains
- Widespread and fairly intense cold from the Pacific Northwest to the northern Rockies
- Cold in northern New England
- Little or no precipitation in the Pacific Northwest
NCEP's GFS 192-hour forecast for Thanksgiving Day 2010
This is quite a bit different than the earlier computer model, and I strongly suspect that it will change significantly again before the turkey comes out of the oven on November 25.
Some of the computer models in between these two examples predicted a significant snow storm in the upper Midwest, and some indicated the possibility of snow on the northern edge of the precipitation now forecast for the mid-south and Mid-Atlantic regions.
I’ll have another post in a day or two, along with more detailed information about weather-related travel delays leading up to Thanksgiving, as opposed to security-related travel delays, overbooked-airline travel delays, and too-many-layover-related travel delays.
